My publications

Kofman, Michael, (2017) Russia’s Fifth-Generation Sub Looms. Proceeding Magazine, Vol.143/10/1,376

Kofman, Michael, “Russian Military Buildup in the West: Fact Versus Fiction,” Russia Matters, September 7, 2017

Kofman, Michael, “For the U.S., Arming Ukraine Could Be a Deadly Mistake, The New York Times, August 25, 2017

Kofman, Michael, “What to expect when you’re expecting Zapad,” War on the Rocks. August 23, 2017

Kofman, Michael and Edmonds, Jeffrey, “Why the Russian Navy is a More Capable Adversary Than It Appears,” The National Interest, August 22, 2017

Kofman, Michael, “A Tale of Two Campaigns: U.S. and Russian Military Operations in Syria,” in Pathways to Peace and Security. p.163-170, No. 1(52) Special Issue. Edited by Ekaterina Stepanova, 2017 ISBN 978-5-9535-0502-4 

Kofman, Michael and Gorenburg, Dmitry, “Moscow Conference on International Security 2017: Cooperation Lost in Translation,” The National Interest. May 9, 2017.

Kofman, Michael et al. (2017). Lessons from Russia’s Operations in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine. (Report No. RR-1498-A). Santa Monica, California: RAND Corporation.

Kofman, Michael, “No Plan? No Strategy? No Problem! Syria and why Trump’s Russia Policy is off to a rough start,” War on the Rocks, April 11, 2017.

Kofman, Michael, “Reports of Deep Cuts to Russia’s Defense Budget Have Been Grossly Exaggerated,” World Politics Review. March 22, 2017

Kofman, Michael, “Russian Spetsnaz: Learning from Experience,” The Cipher Brief. March 15, 2017.

Kofman, Michael and Polmar, Norman (2017) Naval Aviation Taking Flight Again…Slowly. Proceedings Magazine, Vol. 143/3/1,369

Kofman, Michael, “A Comparative Guide to Russia’s Use of Force: Measure Twice, Invade Once,” War on the Rocks, February 16, 2017.

Kofman, Michael, “The ABCs of Russian Military Power: A Primer for the New Administration,” The National Interest, February 2, 2017.

Polmar, Norman and Kofman, Michael (2017) Impressive Beneath the Waves. Proceedings Magazine, Vol. 143/2/1, 368.

Kofman, Michael, “The Moscow School of Hard Knocks: Key Pillars of Russian Strategy,” War on the Rocks, January 17, 2017.

Kofman, Michael “Russia Will Continue Setting the Agenda,” The Cipher Brief. January 17, 2017.

Polmar, Norman and Kofman, Michael (2017) One Step Forward, Two Steps Back? Proceedings Magazine, Vol. 143/1/1,367, pp.66-67

Kofman, Michael and Polmar, Norman. (2016) Toward Smaller Ships and Professional Sailors. Proceedings Magazine, Vol 142/11/1.365, pp.66-67

Kofman, Michael. (2016) US and Russia in Syria’s War: Cooperation and Competition, in Artis Pabriks, The War in Syria Lessons for the West (pp.65-86) University of Latvia Press, Riga.

Kofman, Michael, “The Russian Navy’s Great Mediterranean Show of Force,” The National Interest, October 21, 2016.

Kofman, Michael, “The Misadventures of Russia and the United States in Syria: Complete Strategy Implosion Edition,” War on the Rocks. October 11, 2016.

Kofman, Michael, “Putin’s Military is Playing the Long Game in Ukraine,” Foreign Policy. August 31, 2016.

Kofman, Michael. “The Crimean Crisis and Russia’s Military Posture in the Black Sea,” War on the Rocks. August 19, 2016.

Kofman, Michael, “NATO Deterrence and the Russian Specter in the Baltics,” The Russia File. Wilson Center. August 9, 2016.

Kofman, Michael. “Как надо сдерживать Россию,” Lenta.ru August 8, 2016.

Kofman, Michael. “Ложные реальные угрозы,” Vedomosti July 15, 2016.

Kofman, Michael, “The Russian Dream: Power Without Substance,” Book Review Roundtable. Asia Policy, Number 22, 223-48.

Kofman, Michael. The Expensive Pretzel Logic of Deterring Russia by Denial. War on the Rocks. June 23, 2016.

Kofman, Michael. The Russian Military: A Force in Transition. Report for the Center on Global Interests. June 2016.

Kofman, Michael. Fixing NATO Deterrence In the East or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love NATO’s Crushing Defeat by Russia. War on the Rocks. May 12, 2016

Kofman, Michael and Andrey Sushentsov. What Makes Great Power War Possible. Valdai Discussion Club Report. April 2016.

Kofman, Michael. Russia’s submarine program: How big a threat? CNN Opinion. April 25, 2016.

Kofman, Michael. Гибридная война, которой нет. Vedomosti. April 20, 2016.

Dmitry Gorenburg and Kofman, Michael. There is no Russian withdrawal from Syria. War on the Rocks. March, 18, 2016.

Kofman, Michael. How to Lose a Proxy War with Russia. The National Interest. March 6, 2016.

Kofman, Michael. The Russian Quagmire in Syria and Other Washington Fairy Tales. War on the Rocks. February 16, 2016.

Kofman, Michael. The Seven Deadly Sins of Russia Analysis. War on the Rocks. December 23, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. The Russian Navy: Strategies and Missions of a Force in Transition. CIMSEC. November 23, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Why the U.S. Should Be Paying Attention to Russia’s Latest Strikes in Syria. War on the Rocks. November 19, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Six Key Trends in Russian Foreign Policy, As Seen by the West. Russia Direct. November 6, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Russia’s New Strategy in the Middle East. Russia Direct Report. October 29, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. The Russian Intervention in Syria: Policy Options and Exit Strategies. War on the Rocks. October 21, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Russia Banks on Brief Campaign to Determine Syria Endgame. World Politics Review. War on the Rocks. October 19, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Russia’s Arsenal in Syria: what do we know? War on the Rocks. October 18, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. How Russia’s Gambit in Syria Changes the Game. War on the Rocks. September 21, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Putin’s Strategy is Far Better Than You Think. War on the Rocks. September 7, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Is Russia’s Power to Annoy Changing the Game? War on the Rocks. August 24, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Pulling Russia and Ukraine Back from the Brink of War. The National Interest. August 14, 2015.

Matthew Rojansky and Kofman, Michael. Isolated Russia has little left to lose. CNN. July 16, 2015

Graham, T.E., Rojansky, Matthew, Kofman, Michael. Are Ukraine and the U.S. allies or not? Reuters. June 10, 2015.

Kofman, Michael and Matthew Rojansky. U.S. and German Views on Ukraine: The Risks of Trans-Atlantic Misunderstanding. Friedrich Ebert Stiftung. June 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Germany’s G7 Summit and Russia. The Diplomatic Courier. June 3, 2015.

Kofman, Michael and Matthew Rojansky. A Closer Look at Russia’s Hybrid War. Kennan Cable No7. April, 2015

Kofman, Michael. Don’t Doubt the Ceasefire. Foreign Affairs. February 22, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Sending Arms to Ukraine won’t work. CNN. February 10, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. How to Start a Proxy War with Russia. The National Interest. February 5, 2015.

Kofman, Michael and Roger McDermott. No Return to Cold War in Russia’s New Military Doctrine. Eurasia Review. February 3, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Germany proves an uncertain leader in confrontation with Russia. The Diplomatic Courier. January/February Edition, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Time to rethink Ukraine deal. CNN. January 23, 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Brothers Armed: Military Aspects of the Crisis in Ukraine. Joint Force Quarterly, Issue 76. National Defense University Press. January 2015.

Kofman, Michael. Strong or weak, bully or buffoon? Will the real Russia please stand up? Reuters. December 17, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. An Uneasy Menage a Trois. Foreign Affairs. December 4, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Is Russia planning a winter offensive? CNN. November 13, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Russia rejects global governance norms, and the US is running out of options. The Diplomatic Courier, November 7, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Why sending weapons to Ukraine would be a terrible idea. Quartz. October 24, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Weapons are not the answer to Ukraine’s military woes. Wilson Center. Wilson Brief 1, October 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Ukraine’s Battle for the East is Over. The National Interest. September 9, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. The battle for Ukraine: Who is winning? The National Interest. May 17, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Can you confront Russia and save Ukraine? The Diplomatic Courier, May 7, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Targeted Sanctions on Russia will work, but mostly for Vladimir Putin. The Diplomatic Courier, April 30, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Putin’s Grand Strategy for Ukraine. The National Interest. April 25, 2014.

Kofman, Michael. Russia Can’t Afford to Lose. The National Interest. April 14, 2014.

Parker, John and Kofman, Michael. Russia Still Matters: Strategic Challenges and Opportunities for the Obama Administration. Strategic Forum, March 2013, National Defense University Press.

Gompert, David and Kofman, Michael. Raising Our Sights: Russian-American Strategic Restraint in an Age of Vulnerability. Strategic Forum, January 2012, NDU Press.

Kofman, Michael. Central Asia: Great Games or Graveyard? The Diplomatic Courier. Print Edition. June 2011.

Andres, Richard and Kofman, Michael. European Energy Security: Reducing Volatility of Ukraine-Russia Natural Gas Pricing Disputes. Strategic Forum, February 2011, NDU Press.